Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001088 0.001237 0.001387 0.001550 0.001720 0.001893 0.002081
2025-06-08 0.000858 0.001070 0.001292 0.001540 0.001807 0.002083 0.002390
2025-06-15 0.000729 0.000992 0.001277 0.001603 0.001961 0.002338 0.002762
2025-06-22 0.000566 0.000859 0.001189 0.001576 0.002010 0.002475 0.003005
2025-06-29 0.000457 0.000774 0.001144 0.001590 0.002099 0.002651 0.003287
2025-07-06 0.000414 0.000763 0.001182 0.001695 0.002287 0.002934 0.003684
2025-07-13 0.000315 0.000669 0.001113 0.001670 0.002323 0.003047 0.003891
2025-07-20 0.000218 0.000564 0.001021 0.001612 0.002316 0.003105 0.004035
2025-07-27 0.000177 0.000530 0.001015 0.001653 0.002423 0.003291 0.004318
2025-08-03 0.000124 0.000468 0.000968 0.001640 0.002462 0.003397 0.004510
2025-08-10 0.000064 0.000374 0.000868 0.001556 0.002413 0.003399 0.004582
2025-08-17 0.000033 0.000321 0.000820 0.001534 0.002436 0.003481 0.004742
2025-08-24 0.000003 0.000237 0.000730 0.001470 0.002428 0.003553 0.004922
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000182 0.000677 0.001455 0.002480 0.003697 0.005188
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000161 0.000677 0.001512 0.002624 0.003951 0.005584
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000113 0.000619 0.001483 0.002657 0.004073 0.005826
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000085 0.000591 0.001494 0.002741 0.004255 0.006138
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000085 0.000624 0.001595 0.002940 0.004577 0.006614
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000053 0.000575 0.001571 0.002974 0.004697 0.006852
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000024 0.000508 0.001513 0.002962 0.004759 0.007020
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000016 0.000504 0.001553 0.003079 0.004977 0.007372
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000005 0.000469 0.001540 0.003122 0.005104 0.007614
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000397 0.001459 0.003069 0.005110 0.007710